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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Thu Aug 30, 2012 12:34 am 
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King or Queen Postsalot

Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2010 12:17 am
Posts: 1140
Location: Northwest Chicagoland
-BO- wrote:
FrankC wrote:
-BO- wrote:
For those hacks who think a certain number choice comes up more frequently than others, are you aware that BT now randomly scrambles the answer order throughout the network to eliminate using the mobile PM to cheat?

Without this crutch to lean on, I'd say the numerologists won't be able to crack 10k in CD now.


Number 3 still works fo me.

And over the long haul you'll be right exactly 20% of the time.


Actually I am right about 50% of the time or more. When the 2 correct possible answers are between 3 and some other number, I go with 3.

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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Thu Aug 30, 2012 10:14 am 
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Joined: Sat Jun 18, 2011 3:26 pm
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Location: DeMori's (Bungalow sometimes)
I occasionally play at a bar called the Bungalow along the Minnesota-Wisconsin border. There was an occasional player who went under the user name HONI. There was a lady named Mary who was a more serious player. If the answer turned out to be "1" and Mary didn't choose it HONI would yell "Its one Mary! It's always one." HONI passed away about five years ago, but if anybody picks one as their default answer they say they are using the "Rule of Hone."


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Thu Aug 30, 2012 1:41 pm 
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-BO- wrote:
FrankC wrote:
-BO- wrote:
For those hacks who think a certain number choice comes up more frequently than others, are you aware that BT now randomly scrambles the answer order throughout the network to eliminate using the mobile PM to cheat?

Without this crutch to lean on, I'd say the numerologists won't be able to crack 10k in CD now.


Number 3 still works fo me.

And over the long haul you'll be right exactly 20% of the time.

More than that. About 22% I'd say, since a good chunk of BT's programming offers only 4 answers. Too lazy to math it all out right now, though

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Why not downgrade Plutonium to a dwarf element?


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Fri Oct 26, 2012 1:46 am 
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Sir or Dame Postalot

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2012 2:14 am
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It depends on what type of thing is being asked. For example, I often can correctly guess ones that I don't know at all based on the structures of foreign languages. Like if it asks where some mountain is (or something), often the regions of the world are varied enough to safely make an uneducated guess. I don't pick a number blindly more often than others just to pick it. Then again I haven't read the literature on that sort of thing. Though when I am clueless, as soon as I pick I already have fingers on the other buttons.

But yeah I guess my method is trying to find a clue in the question more than anything else.


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Mon Oct 29, 2012 12:39 pm 
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Lord of Scaratings
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mrgray wrote:
It depends on what type of thing is being asked. For example, I often can correctly guess ones that I don't know at all based on the structures of foreign languages. Like if it asks where some mountain is (or something), often the regions of the world are varied enough to safely make an uneducated guess. I don't pick a number blindly more often than others just to pick it. Then again I haven't read the literature on that sort of thing. Though when I am clueless, as soon as I pick I already have fingers on the other buttons.

But yeah I guess my method is trying to find a clue in the question more than anything else.


Just push #3 in Countdown.


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Mon Oct 29, 2012 12:47 pm 
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Himself Fodder

Joined: Wed Mar 10, 2010 3:20 pm
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scar wrote:
Just push #3 in Countdown.

Uncle Scar must be bored trying to stir the pot with that comment! :D


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Mon Oct 29, 2012 1:08 pm 
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Lord of Scaratings
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:twisted:


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Tue Jul 09, 2013 7:16 pm 
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We, at the former Buzztime location, Michael Anthony's in Berwyn Illinois, used to call picking 3 on a question you didn't the answer to, "Using the Pechous theory". Bob Pechous, a regular Buzztime player for many years, passed away today after a long bout with Alzheimer's. Bob aquired most of his points in Springfield where he served as an Illinois State Rep. After the more modernization (internet registration, etc) of Buzztime, Bob slowed down his play. When I started as a Buzztime player, I never thought I'd reach as many Players Plus points as he had. RIP Bob, you will be missed.


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 Post subject: I'm very sorry to hear about your friend, Bob...
PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 1:51 am 
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vapid wrote:
We, at the former Buzztime location, Michael Anthony's in Berwyn Illinois, used to call picking 3 on a question you didn't the answer to, "Using the Pechous theory". Bob Pechous, a regular Buzztime player for many years, passed away today after a long bout with Alzheimer's. Bob aquired most of his points in Springfield where he served as an Illinois State Rep. After the more modernization (internet registration, etc) of Buzztime, Bob slowed down his play. When I started as a Buzztime player, I never thought I'd reach as many Players Plus points as he had. RIP Bob, you will be missed.


Vapid, I'm very sorry to hear about your friend, Bob. I've had my sorrow too. Several of those, whom I played trivia with have passed away. As we get older death of our friends becomes more common. I'm old, and hoping that I'm not the next to go, but who knows?

p.s. I always hit 3, when I have no idea on a question, and none of the other tricks work, but a friend of mine, KARP, always hits 1. I really don't think it makes any difference what number you always hit, when you don't know the answer. If you keep hitting the same one every time, you are likely to get it right about 20% of the time on games that have five possible answers.

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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2014 12:08 pm 
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Joined: Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:45 am
Posts: 53
Rumor that the BWW-West St Paul MN is about to shutter reminds me of a nurse who used to play there as MOTHER. I sat next to her one day and learned that her method of play was to hit the #3 key while reading the answers, and to switch as seemed appropriate. The coinage, "Mother's Rule," was too obvious to repress, and I infected J A K, as well as a number of other locals with it. So a few months later I'm sitting in the Damon's - Bristol VA, and the player next to me mutters, "I should have gone with Mother's Rule." (!) I asked him if he were from Minnesota, but no: like Chrissy Hynde, he was from Ohio.


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 Post subject: "Academy of Football" guessing method...
PostPosted: Mon Oct 12, 2015 8:08 pm 
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This guessing method doesn't work every time, but my buddies and I have found that it works more often than you would think.

When you are playing the "Academy of Football", and get a question where the answers are the names of five colleges, and you don't have a clue, try this.

If one of the colleges has the word "State" in its name, go with it. You might be surprised how often you will be right.

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"The game is afoot."


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Mon Oct 12, 2015 9:03 pm 
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Lord or Lady Postsalot
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Location: RTO's, Mesa AZ
A new guessing method I have been using is the Baseball method. Not being much of a sports person, I am usually playing the guessing game when a sports question is thrown my way. If I have no clue, and baseball, or a baseball term/player is an option, I go with that. So far it has worked about 80% of the time.

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http://www.buzztime.com/profile?pid=4095712
http://www.sixchallenge.com


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2015 8:03 am 
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Himself Fodder

Joined: Wed Mar 10, 2010 3:20 pm
Posts: 2133
mudee wrote:
A new guessing method I have been using is the Baseball method. Not being much of a sports person, I am usually playing the guessing game when a sports question is thrown my way. If I have no clue, and baseball, or a baseball term/player is an option, I go with that. So far it has worked about 80% of the time.

Each and every time somebody posts a system with percentages I'm going to post a version of the following.....

Some luckbox system that works 80% of the time so far eh? I'd say that means 4 out of 5. When it works 16 of the next 95 to average out for 20% or 1 of 5 then please post here again.

Pretty funny stuff this thread about what people think actually works.


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 Post subject: Re: "Academy of Football" guessing method...
PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2015 12:07 pm 
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Lord of Scaratings
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Cloudy wrote:
This guessing method doesn't work every time, but my buddies and I have found that it works more often than you would think.

When you are playing the "Academy of Football", and get a question where the answers are the names of five colleges, and you don't have a clue, try this.

If one of the colleges has the word "State" in its name, go with it. You might be surprised how often you will be right.


That did work pretty well that afternoon we played, about 4 games I think.


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2015 12:13 pm 
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Lord of Scaratings
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-BO- wrote:
mudee wrote:
A new guessing method I have been using is the Baseball method. Not being much of a sports person, I am usually playing the guessing game when a sports question is thrown my way. If I have no clue, and baseball, or a baseball term/player is an option, I go with that. So far it has worked about 80% of the time.

Each and every time somebody posts a system with percentages I'm going to post a version of the following.....

Some luckbox system that works 80% of the time so far eh? I'd say that means 4 out of 5. When it works 16 of the next 95 to average out for 20% or 1 of 5 then please post here again.

Pretty funny stuff this thread about what people think actually works.


Bo, that reminds me of a night when our dear, departed friend GRS got on a little tear at the old TGIF-Louisville, saying " That's THREE Times in a row it was the longest answer !" very strongly.

Well, I was feeling a little feisty so the next question I bellowed our " That's one in a row that it is NOT the longest answer".

Well, time went on and after I said " That's 27 in a row that it is NOT the longest answer !" GRS said "Aw right just shut the @#$%& up, I won't say that again".

Next question it WAS the longest answer, and we just busted out laughing together and kept our mouths shut.


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2015 2:42 pm 
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Lord or Lady Postsalot
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Joined: Sun Apr 28, 2013 12:50 pm
Posts: 557
Location: RTO's, Mesa AZ
-BO- wrote:
mudee wrote:
A new guessing method I have been using is the Baseball method. Not being much of a sports person, I am usually playing the guessing game when a sports question is thrown my way. If I have no clue, and baseball, or a baseball term/player is an option, I go with that. So far it has worked about 80% of the time.

Each and every time somebody posts a system with percentages I'm going to post a version of the following.....

Some luckbox system that works 80% of the time so far eh? I'd say that means 4 out of 5. When it works 16 of the next 95 to average out for 20% or 1 of 5 then please post here again.

Pretty funny stuff this thread about what people think actually works.


You don't have to use this method, I merely posted it because as the thread says its a "guessing" method. It works for me. In my case it has worked 79%-81% of the time. That is not saying it will work during a blood moon, or when the swallows are migrating to Capistrano.

_________________
http://www.buzztime.com/profile?pid=4095712
http://www.sixchallenge.com


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2015 8:26 pm 
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King or Queen Postsalot
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-BO- wrote:
Some luckbox system that works 80% of the time so far eh? I'd say that means 4 out of 5. When it works 16 of the next 95 to average out for 20% or 1 of 5 then please post here again.

Pretty funny stuff this thread about what people think actually works.


I have a system that allows me to correctly guess about 90% of the time on non-Canadian topics.
I also have a system that allows me to correctly guess about 10% of the time on Canadian topics.
Fight that math, smart guy...


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Wed Oct 14, 2015 2:13 am 
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Lotsa Posta

Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2010 1:03 pm
Posts: 764
Location: Delaware
-BO- wrote:
mudee wrote:
A new guessing method I have been using is the Baseball method. Not being much of a sports person, I am usually playing the guessing game when a sports question is thrown my way. If I have no clue, and baseball, or a baseball term/player is an option, I go with that. So far it has worked about 80% of the time.

Each and every time somebody posts a system with percentages I'm going to post a version of the following.....

Some luckbox system that works 80% of the time so far eh? I'd say that means 4 out of 5. When it works 16 of the next 95 to average out for 20% or 1 of 5 then please post here again.

Pretty funny stuff this thread about what people think actually works.

This is not about crazy voodoo guessing, though; it's an educated guess based on past experience with BT questions and knowledge about the question writers. Baseball is the answer to a disproportionate number of sports questions, especially about events prior to 2000 or so. If a question asks what [dude I've never heard of] made headlines for in [19XX], as one did the other day, and there's only one choice related to baseball, it's usually the answer. And if not "usually," then at least it's the answer more than 20% of the time.

It is similar with the "longest answer" stratagem. We've noticed this in SciFiles especially. General laziness of the question writers dictates that they will spend less time coming up with distractors, so the longest or most complicated answer (i.e., two or more middle names, initials or hyphenated names) is the correct one more than 20% of the time. Often in SciFiles, that is also the one author, for example, that you've never heard of. Sure, it's still better to know the answer, but if you don't, this gives a competitive edge over a random guessing method.


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2016 8:22 pm 
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If I'm playing Countdown, when in doubt, I will press 3.

Exception: if one of the answers is the TV show, The Simpsons, press on that!

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"My mechanic told me, 'I couldn't repair your brakes, so I made your horn louder'." - comedian Steven Wright


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Thu Jan 21, 2016 12:55 pm 
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Lord of Scaratings
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SEKA wrote:
If I'm playing Countdown, when in doubt, I will press 3.

Exception: if one of the answers is the TV show, The Simpsons, press on that!


Three is my number as well.


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 Post subject: Re: My guessing method
PostPosted: Thu Jan 21, 2016 8:42 pm 
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Location: Illinois side of the St Louis Metro Area
SEKA wrote:
If I'm playing Countdown, when in doubt, I will press 3.

Exception: if one of the answers is the TV show, The Simpsons, press on that!


One guy I used to play with calls #3 a punter... but he now uses that number when he (UGH) blind plays.

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